Bush wins, 273 to 265. Popular vote even at 48%. Nader and Badnarik each get 1.2%.

It will all come down to turn-out. Kerry’s folks are much less committed to their man; Republicans ought to pray for bad weather.

I think the closeness of this election speaks ill of both Bush’s policies and of Kerry’s campaign.

I bumped Badnarik’s numbers because I think many conservatives are so satisfied with Bush’s fiscal policy that some may jump ship (like Nader voters did to the Dems last time ’round).

Are there any other ministers who are willing to post their guesses and risk humiliation?